Validating Large Language Models as Computational Instruments for Social Science Research

Max Pellert (https://mpellert.at)

Classical traditional surveys

Beloved standard tool of the social sciences

Often considered the gold standard, “ground truth” (especially when working with large representative samples of a population)

But, classical survey methodologies increasingly suffer from problems

First line of the 2024 Book “Polling at a Crossroads: Rethinking Modern Survey Research”: Survey research is in a state of crisis

Last example: US presidential elections 2024

Biggest issue is non-response

Alternatives?

Synthetic Surveys

Britain’s mood, measured weekly

One example of an easily accessible, representative survey (UK) in the affective domain